Forecast

Vortex Wind & Site products have been designed to help you at each stage of the wind farm development process. Vortex regional wind MAPs will be useful at the prospecting stage; before measuring, our 10-minute time series LES orientates you where to place a met mast; while measuring, a WRG file helps you designing your wind farm and selecting your turbines; and once measurements are available, a Vortex long-term time series will be necessary to extrapolate them. While Vortex TIMES offers invaluable insights into how variables like turbulence, shear, atmospheric stability, and more are interconnected. If the wind farm development occurs in a specific area, where extreme winds are frequent, Vortex EXTREMES might be helpful.

Sirocco Energy is a Vortex spin-off dedicated to providing short-term generation forecasts for wind and solar assets. It uses a combination of up to 36 different algorithms to deliver the best forecast current technology can provide. Sirocco’s forecasting model is based on a 3rd generation forecast approach. While pioneer prediction schemes were outperformed by those based solely on statistical training, Sirocco’s approach combines the best of both worlds, introducing a new combined scheme that has demonstrated improved forecast quality: a “Statistical – Downscaling Model.”

Seasonal forecasts for wind speed anomalies over periods of up to 6 months using Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) seasonal forecast datasets. As explained in the C3S documentation by the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, seasonal forecasts tell us how likely it is that the coming season will be windier than ‘usual’ for that time of year. Nebbo provides you not only with the model outputs for the next month but also with a seasonal ensemble adjusted to your site.

Climate Scale offers easy access to current climate variability and future climate projections, leveraging the consolidated experience of Vortex technology to physically downscale climate data to resolutions suitable for local applications. Building on Vortex’s track record of quantifying wind resource potential, Climate Scale evaluates how climate change will affect wind resources in your region and identifies new opportunities for wind generation. Assess changes in extreme events and understand how these may impact wind infrastructure and energy grids.