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Author name: Gerard Castro

Seasonal Forecasting: monthly predictions up to a year

Blog / SEASONAL FORECASTING: MONTHLY PREDICTIONS UP TO A YEAR Using the Copernicus datasets, statistics and artificial intelligence to beat climatology Due to the chaotic behaviour of atmospheric systems, accurate seasonal forecasts are still an ongoing less than the trivial problem. Indeed today, one of the industry’s most common approaches to estimating these atmospheric magnitudes …

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Seasonal Forecasts For The Wind Industry

Blog / SEASONAL FORECASTS FOR THE WIND INDUSTRY Can the prediction ensembles be collapsed into a reliable single-value prediction? If seasonal forecasts are still feasible is because atmospheric variability on these time scales is modulated by slowly-varying boundary conditions. However, these are not the kind of single-value predictions we might have in mind since predicting the hourly changes beyond …

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